CFD Trading 15 May 2019

Netflix Inc Stock Code NFLX.NAS

Outlook

We had picked this stock on 30th April for a short sell and our wealth team has come up with a short idea as well on 9th of May. One of the reasons for the short idea on Netflix was the increasing competition in streaming space with companies like Disney and NBC, which used to cooperate with Netflix, now getting into the space as competitors. It will be hard for Netflix to complete against Disney’s strong content. Price has dropped below the cloud in its continuing decline. This is another reason for us to be bearish. Both Base and Conversion lines are about to have a bearish crossover and price is about to break a recent low. MACD has turned bearish and is declining. Price could be going down to a gap support at $302 or Fibonacci 50% correction point at $308.

Strategy

$354.00 Sell
$308.00 Price Target
$387.20 Risk Management Stop
4 weeks Trade Duration

Watt Disney Co Stock Code DIS.NYS

Outlook

Price rallied to a high of $142.37 after announcement of entry into the streaming space. Together with the overall market condition, price has dropped lower to $130. There could be more downside movement as MACD has not turned around as yet. MACD’s trend is still bullish and this decline could be corrective. Price has not closed a big gap that was opened on 12th April. As long as price stays above the low point of the gap at $118.02, the trend is bullish.

Strategy

$126.10 Buy
$142.35 Price Target
$117.80 Risk Management Stop
4 weeks Trade Duration

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CFD Trading 7 February 2019

Walt Disney Company Stock Code DIS.NYS

Outlook

Price moved above the cloud recently, confirming a bullish price trend. However, price had a bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern yesterday. This is a hint of a reversal in price trend. MACD showed a bearish divergence as well, also hinting of a price top. While price is above the cloud as well as both Conversion and Base lines, hinting of a bullish trend, the candlestick pattern coupled with the MACD divergence could be a warning that the bullish price trend is due for a reversal. Besides these 2 warnings, price movement upon breaking above the cloud was also weak as shown by the sideways movement. We think there could be a correction of the recent price rally. We think price could go lower to $106.20

Strategy

$111.80 Short Sell
$106.20 Price Target
$114.02 Risk Management Stop
2 weeks Trade Duration

Pfizer Inc. Stock Code PFE.NYS

Outlook

Price has been capped by the cloud moving lower over the past 4 trading days. However, yesterday we saw a Piercing Line candlestick pattern which also closed more than 50% into the previous candlestick body. This could be a sign that the price pullback after hitting the cloud resistance could be over. Price could be resuming its previous rally which was triggered by a bullish divergence from MACD as well as a bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern back on 29th Jan 2019. As long as price stays above Base line support at $41.30, there is a good chance of price moving up to $44.95 which is the Fibonacci 161.8% of the previous price rally from 29th Jan to 1st Feb 2019.

Strategy

$42.10 Trading Buy
$44.95 Price Target
$41.10 Risk Management Stop
2 weeks Trade Duration

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